Welcome to our 2025 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview. In this article we will break down what players for the Falcons have fantasy impact before you draft.
2025 Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview
Michael Penix Jr. – The Time Is Now
As the Falcons enter the 2025 season, their offense is poised for transformation—and at the center of it all is Michael Penix Jr. After being selected eighth overall in the 2024 draft, Penix quietly made his case in three end-of-season starts. His raw arm strength and fearless deep throws impressed trusted metrics like a 87.6 PFF passing grade, positioning him toward potential QB7–QB8 upside if helped by improved accuracy and fewer mistakes
What Makes Penix a Fantasy Sleeper?
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Surrounding talent: With weapons like Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Darnell Mooney already in place, Penix has the pieces to build an explosive aerial attack
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Scheme fits: OC Zac Robinson is tailoring the offense to take advantage of Penix’s arm talent. While still run-leaning, projections expect a pass rate near 55% in 2025—a modest increase from 2024 but a potential foundation for more fantasy production Draft Sharks.
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Room for growth: Though his deep focus and willingness to push the ball downfield are encouraging, Penix struggles with accuracy in short and intermediate throws—a raw area to sharpen
Supporting Cast and Fantasy Tier
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Drake London thrived last season and should remain the primary target—expected to slide into a low-end WR1 range in most formats.
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Darnell Mooney bounced back to top 900 yards in 2024 but remains a question mark due to injury history—likely a WR3 with upside, but not free of risk.
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Kyle Pitts remains a wildcard. Despite not meeting expectations in 2024, he still has upside—though his volume and efficiency dropped last year, and his involvement alongside Penix remains uncertain.
Fantasy Outlook & Draft Strategy
If Penix’s final-four-games sample from 2024 is projected over a full season, he would land around QB23. With improvement and a functional offense, his ceiling could rise into the QB7-QB8 range Operation Sports. FantasyPros and NBC’s Matthew Berry currently slot him just outside the top 20, placing him around QB21–22.
Consider him a high-upside QB2 in one-QB leagues or a league-winning QB2 in deeper formats. If he goes undrafted, he could be one of the most popular early-seasons waiver-wire pickups.
Final Take
Michael Penix Jr. represents a textbook gamble that could pay off handsomely. If he can resolve his short accuracy issues and minimize turnovers, the Falcons could emerge as a solid fantasy weapon in 2025. You’re essentially betting on a vertical-passing potential tied into an improving offense with a few strong pieces around him. He’s not a plug-and-play starter in most leagues—but he’s a prime sleeper and someone worth investing faith in as a high-ceiling backup option.
NFL strength of schedule rankings after 2025 NFL schedule release:
- 1. New York Giants (.574)
- 2. Chicago Bears (.571)
- 2. Detroit Lions (.571)
- 4. Philadelphia Eagles (.561)
- 5. Dallas Cowboys (.557)
- 5. Green Bay Packers (.557)
- 5. Minnesota Vikings (.557)
- 8. Washington Commanders (.550)
- 9. Baltimore Ravens (.533)
- 10. Pittsburgh Steelers (.526)
- 11. Kansas City Chiefs (.522)
- 11. Los Angeles Chargers (.522)
- 13. Cleveland Browns (.519)
- 14. Cincinnati Bengals (.509)
- 15. Denver Broncos (.505)
- 16. Las Vegas Raiders (.502)
- 17. Los Angeles Rams (.491)
- 18. Houston Texans (.481)
- 18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (.481)
- 20. Atlanta Falcons (.478)
- 21. Miami Dolphins (.474)
- 21. Seattle Seahawks (.474)
- 23. Buffalo Bills (.467)
- 23. Jacksonville Jaguars (.467)
- 25. Indianapolis Colts (.464)
- 26. New York Jets (.460)
- 27. Arizona Cardinals (.457)
- 27. Carolina Panthers (.457)
- 29. Tennessee Titans (.450)
- 30. New England Patriots (.429)
- 31. New Orleans Saints (.419)
- 32. San Francisco 49ers (.415)
Our 2025 Player Projections:
QB- Michael Penix Jr- 350 Completions, 550 Attempts, 24 Passing TDs, 14 INTs, 49 Carries, 200 Rush Yards, 4 Rush TDs
RB- Bijan Robinson- 305 Carries, 1525 Rush Yds, 14 Rush TDs, 64 Receptions, 499 Rec Yards, 3 Rec TDs
RB- Tyler Allgeier- 128 Carries, 550 Rush Yds, 4 Rush TDs, 12 Receptions, 82 Rec Yards, 1 Rec TDs
WR- Darnell Mooney- 105 Targets, 63 Recs, 900 Yards, 6 Rec TDs
WR- Drake London- 155 Targets, 104 Recs, 1225 Rec Yards, 11 TDs
WR- Ray-Ray McCloud III- 66 Targets, 50 Recs, 479 Rec Yards, 4 TDs
TE- Kyle Pitts- 83 Targets, 55 Recs, 695 Rec Yards, 5 TDs
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