How to read it: Hit % is our modeled probability the pick lands — ● Poisson for counts, ○ normal estimate for sums. Fair is the American price that probability implies (our "true" number). DK / FD are the live offered prices; the highlighted one is the better number to bet. EV % is expected value per $1 staked at the best available price — positive means the book is paying more than our model says the risk is worth. Grading against sportsbook lines; pick'em apps often price these softer. Not betting advice; estimates only; for entertainment, 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.