December 21, 2024

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PGA DFS Memorial Tournament

PGA DFS Memorial Tournament

PGA DFS Memorial Tournament Advice for Fanduel and DraftKings Advice can be used for this week.  FantasyTeamAdvisors is very excited to be able to provide you with some PGA content once again. Let’s dig in!

 If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @advisors_team

 

 


PGA DFS Memorial Tournament


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If you would like to hear the analysis on each of these picks below, make sure to watch the video as we break it down even more! 

PGA DFS Memorial Tournament

 

This week, the PGA Tour heads to Muirfield Village for the Memorial Tournament, an event that promises to challenge even the most seasoned golfers. With its unique blend of length and small greens, Muirfield Village is a course that demands precision and versatility.

Let’s dive into the key insights and statistics you need to know for this week’s PGA DFS slate.

Check out More PGA DFS Content here:

PGA DFS Bacon Station  |  PGA DFS Simulations  |  PGA DFS Cheat Sheet


Course Overview: Muirfield Village Golf Club

  • Location: Dublin, Ohio
  • Par: 72
  • Yardage: 7,569 yards
  • Architect: Jack Nicklaus/Desmond Muirhead (1974), redesigned by Jack Nicklaus (2015, 2020)
  • Course Type: Tree-lined Parkland
  • Greens: Bentgrass
  • Fairways: Bentgrass
  • Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass/Rye/Fescue

Key Course Features

  • Length: Very long (5th longest on Tour)
  • Green Size: Very small (5th smallest on Tour)
  • Difficulty: 2nd toughest on Tour
  • Water Danger Holes: 12 (5th most on Tour)
  • Fairway Width: 32.0 yards (21st widest on Tour)
  • Rough Length: Long

Historical Performance and Key Stats

Muirfield Village is known for its challenging setup that requires a well-rounded game. Here’s what you need to focus on:

Strokes Gained Analysis

  • SG: Tee-to-Green: Crucial, as Muirfield Village is one of the top courses where T2G performance correlates with success.
  • SG: Approach: Highly important due to the small green size and long approach shots.
  • SG: Around the Green: Significant, with a high percentage of missed greens leading to the necessity for strong short game skills.
  • SG: Putting: Middle of the pack in importance, but not to be ignored.

Course History and Notable Performers

  • Patrick Cantlay: Excellent record here with an average finish of 15.1 and strong SG stats.
  • Rory McIlroy: Consistent performer with notable finishes but has yet to secure a win here.
  • Xander Schauffele: Steady record with multiple top finishes.
  • Scottie Scheffler: Stellar T2G game, making him a prime candidate for success.
  • Hideki Matsuyama: Previous winner with strong T2G stats.

Breakdown by Rounds and Performance

  • Long Shots: Approximately 2/3 of approach shots come from outside 150 yards, with 25% from over 200 yards.
  • Small Greens: Players will need to be precise with their irons to hit these tiny targets.
  • Bogey Avoidance: Essential, given the high penalty for missed fairways and greens.

Statistical Insights

  • Driving Accuracy and Distance: Muirfield Village demands both, as errant drives can easily find trouble.
  • Greens in Regulation (GIR): Significantly lower than Tour average, emphasizing the need for strong approach play.
  • Scrambling: Critical, with high penalties for missed greens.

 

Strategy and Tips for DFS Players

Key Points to Consider

  • Target Well-Rounded Players: Look for those who excel T2G and have a balanced game across all key statistics.
  • Experience Matters: Familiarity with the course can be a significant advantage.
  • Monitor Recent Form: Players trending positively in T2G stats should be high on your list.
  • Weather Impact: Keep an eye on the forecast, as it can significantly affect course conditions and player performance.

 

 

What to Look For

  • Strokes gained approach
  • Total driving
  • Strokes gained around the green
  • Bogey avoidance
  • Success on long and difficult courses
You can find even more plays we like at each position on our cheat sheet as part of FTA+ memberships. Make sure to check the memberships out for DFS+ Sportsbetting. This includes cheat-sheets and our FanDuel and DraftKings Batter Trends. Use these to build the best optimal PGA DFS lineup each week.

PGA DFS Memorial Tournament

Early Simulations:

PGA DFS Memorial Tournament

Weather:

Nothing too crazy wind wise for the week as a whole, with the lack of rain this week the greens and course will play faster and more difficult as it progresses over the 4 days.

Betting Picks:

  • Scottie 3.25/1

  • Rory 9/1

  • Xander 9/1

  • Collin Morikawa 14/1

  • Corey Conners 50/1

  • Shane Lowry 65/1

 

CORE PLAYS: 

These are the golfers that I will have in every lineup this week. Some form of combination of these golfers as you cannot afford too many in the same one and still make a decent lineup.

 

Scottie Scheffler

Rory McIlroy

Xander Schauffele

Lee Hodges (he’s almost just too cheap)

Lucas Glover

Corey Conners

 

A Ton of Exposure:

 

Collin Morikawa

Tony Finau

Shane Lowry

 

Mid To Low Exposure:

 

Alex Noren

Keegan Bradley

Si Woo Kim

Sepp Straka

Kurt Kitayama

Stephan Jaeger

Taylor Pendrith

Davis Thompson

Mackenzie Hughes

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