Falcons at Saints is the Week 4 Monday night showdown, with a projected total of 48.4 and the Saints favored by less than a point. Below is the full FTA projection board for the DraftKings showdown, the captain leverage board ranked by ceiling over ownership, the optimal lineup against the ownership capped build, and the low owned screen.
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints kicks off on Monday October 5 at 8:15 PM Eastern at Caesars Superdome, and it is a one game slate. Below is the full FTA projection board for the DraftKings showdown, the optimal lineup, the captain leverage board and the low owned screen, with every number taken from the same simulation set that feeds our tools.
What the slate shape says before you look at a single player
Our simulations put this game at 48.4 total points, with the Saints at 24.6 and the Falcons at 23.8. That is a spread under one point, which puts it in the pick'em band. Across our study of 163 showdown slates, pick'em spread games sent the captain to the favorite 66 percent of the time, and here the favorite is barely a favorite at all.
So neither side is a rule. The same study found the perfect lineup took players from both sides in almost every slate, with a three to three or four to two split accounting for the clear majority. Building entirely on one team is the single most common way to lose a showdown you had right.
The top of the DraftKings board
The eight highest projections on the slate. The full board of 26 players, the value board, the captain leverage board and the optimal lineup are below for FTA+ members.
That is the free preview
You are seeing the top projections on this single game slate. The full player board, the value board, the captain and MVP leverage board, the optimal lineup with its projected ownership and the low owned screen are in FTA+.
Unlock the full breakdown with FTA+