NFL Game By Game Breakdown: Every Matchup Ranked by Projected Total

Every game on the board ranked by projected total, so stacking priorities read from the top down. Each card carries the model total against the posted market total, the implied points for each side, win probability and the spread, then the top projected players on both offenses.

Salaries and projections read DraftKings first and FanDuel second, stacked around a slash. An n/a means that player is not on the other site’s main board.

Implied points per side matter more than the game total for lineup building, because you are rostering one team. A game total of fifty splits very differently at a pick em spread than it does at a touchdown.

NFL Game By Game Breakdown: Week 8

All 11 games on the Week 8 board, sorted by projected total so stacking priorities read from the top down. The highest projected environment is Ravens at Bills at 54.9 points. Depth charts and snap shares are projected rather than confirmed, so treat the player lists as the model's expectation and check inactives before lock. Salaries and projections read DraftKings first and FanDuel second, and an n/a means the player is not on that site's main board.

October 29, 2026 · 11 games

Every Game, Ranked by Projected Total

#1Ravens at Bills
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Outdoors
54.9Model Total
25.7 - 29.2Proj Score
41 / 59Win %
Bills by 3Spread
54.5Market Total
+0.4Model vs Market
Ravens offense
vs Bills defense, allowing 29.2 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Lamar Jackson Q$6,800 / $8,50020.0 / 20.03% / 4%
RB Derrick Henry$7,200 / $8,50018.1 / 17.410% / 10%
WR Zay Flowers$7,200 / $8,00017.8 / 14.812% / 13%
TE Mark Andrews$3,400 / $5,2009.1 / 7.319% / 3%
WR Ja'Kobi Lane$3,400 / $4,5007.5 / 6.211% / 9%
WR Rashod Bateman$3,900 / $5,5007.3 / 6.01% / 0%
RB Justice Hill$4,200 / $4,9006.5 / 5.50% / 0%
Bills offense
vs Ravens defense, allowing 25.7 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Josh Allen$7,700 / $9,40025.8 / 25.815% / 16%
RB James Cook III$7,900 / $8,40018.5 / 17.65% / 9%
WR DJ Moore Q$5,700 / $6,70012.6 / 10.64% / 4%
TE Dalton Kincaid Q$5,300 / $5,60011.1 / 9.21% / 9%
WR Khalil Shakir$5,600 / $5,7009.9 / 8.10% / 3%
WR Keon Coleman$5,100 / $5,6007.0 / 5.90% / 0%
RB Ty Johnson$4,900 / $5,0005.6 / 4.50% / 0%
#2Cardinals at Cowboys
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Indoors
54.8Model Total
23.5 - 31.3Proj Score
30 / 70Win %
Cowboys by 7Spread
54.5Market Total
+0.3Model vs Market
Cardinals offense
vs Cowboys defense, allowing 31.3 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
TE Trey McBride$7,400 / $7,30018.6 / 14.810% / 18%
QB Jacoby Brissett$5,700 / $7,10017.3 / 17.33% / 5%
RB Jeremiyah Love Q$5,400 / $5,90014.1 / 12.916% / 24%
WR Michael Wilson Q$6,200 / $6,20013.4 / 10.83% / 14%
WR Kendrick Bourne$3,900 / $5,4009.1 / 7.212% / 2%
RB Tyler Allgeier Q$4,900 / $5,7007.3 / 6.30% / 0%
TE Elijah Higgins$2,700 / $4,6004.5 / 3.50% / 0%
Cowboys offense
vs Cardinals defense, allowing 23.5 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Javonte Williams$7,300 / $7,50021.3 / 20.434% / 48%
QB Dak Prescott$6,300 / $8,00021.1 / 21.113% / 13%
WR CeeDee Lamb$8,100 / $8,90019.9 / 16.611% / 8%
WR George Pickens Q$6,600 / $7,80015.8 / 13.212% / 5%
WR Ryan Flournoy$4,600 / $5,2008.9 / 7.32% / 5%
TE Jake Ferguson$4,100 / $5,4006.2 / 5.00% / 0%
RB Tyler Goodson$4,500 / $4,5004.2 / 4.00% / 0%
#3Titans at Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Outdoors
47.0Model Total
18.0 - 29.0Proj Score
23 / 77Win %
Bengals by 10Spread
46.5Market Total
+0.5Model vs Market
Titans offense
vs Bengals defense, allowing 29.0 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Cam Ward$4,600 / $6,50013.1 / 13.11% / 1%
WR Carnell Tate Q$5,200 / $5,90012.6 / 10.220% / 20%
RB Tony Pollard$5,800 / $6,20012.6 / 11.72% / 5%
WR Wan'Dale Robinson$4,200 / $5,1009.7 / 7.612% / 8%
RB Tyjae Spears Q$4,800 / $4,8006.8 / 5.60% / 0%
WR Elic Ayomanor$3,000 / $4,7005.4 / 4.43% / 0%
TE Gunnar Helm$2,500 / $4,5005.2 / 4.06% / 0%
Bengals offense
vs Titans defense, allowing 18.0 projected pointstough
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Joe Burrow$7,000 / $8,30021.5 / 21.510% / 14%
WR Ja'Marr Chase Q$7,700 / $8,70020.6 / 17.022% / 17%
RB Chase Brown$6,300 / $7,10019.1 / 17.336% / 34%
WR Tee Higgins$6,700 / $7,10016.7 / 14.217% / 27%
TE Mike Gesicki$3,700 / $5,3008.5 / 7.06% / 1%
RB Samaje Perine$4,800 / $5,0008.3 / 7.60% / 2%
WR Dohnte Meyers$3,000 / $4,6005.0 / 4.11% / 1%
#4Colts at Jaguars
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Outdoors
47.0Model Total
18.2 - 28.7Proj Score
23 / 77Win %
Jaguars by 10Spread
46.5Market Total
+0.5Model vs Market
Colts offense
vs Jaguars defense, allowing 28.7 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Jonathan Taylor$7,800 / $8,30016.1 / 14.70% / 1%
QB Daniel Jones$4,700 / $6,60012.7 / 12.70% / 0%
TE Tyler Warren Q$4,900 / $5,50010.2 / 8.01% / 2%
WR Keenan Allen$4,500 / $5,8009.3 / 7.32% / 0%
WR Josh Downs$5,300 / $5,8008.9 / 7.10% / 0%
WR Laquon Treadwell$3,100 / $4,9005.2 / 4.21% / 0%
WR Deion Burks$3,000 / $4,3001.9 / 1.50% / 0%
Jaguars offense
vs Colts defense, allowing 18.2 projected pointstough
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Trevor Lawrence$6,200 / $7,70021.0 / 21.015% / 15%
WR Parker Washington$6,500 / $7,20017.0 / 14.518% / 26%
RB Bhayshul Tuten$5,900 / $6,90016.7 / 15.529% / 18%
TE Brenton Strange$4,000 / $5,10010.9 / 8.922% / 16%
WR Jakobi Meyers Q$4,500 / $5,90010.3 / 8.512% / 2%
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr.$4,400 / $5,2006.3 / 6.10% / 0%
WR Brian Thomas Jr.$3,600 / $5,3003.9 / 3.40% / 0%
#5Vikings at Lions
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Indoors
46.6Model Total
21.6 - 25.0Proj Score
41 / 59Win %
Lions by 3Spread
46.5Market Total
+0.1Model vs Market
Vikings offense
vs Lions defense, allowing 25.0 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
WR Justin Jefferson$7,100 / $7,90017.4 / 14.39% / 6%
QB Kyler Murray$5,600 / $7,40016.7 / 16.72% / 1%
TE T.J. Hockenson$4,600 / $5,20010.9 / 8.55% / 5%
RB Jordan Mason$5,700 / $6,00010.7 / 10.00% / 1%
WR Jordan Addison$5,100 / $5,6009.7 / 8.00% / 1%
RB Aaron Jones Sr. Q$6,200 / $5,8009.6 / 8.40% / 0%
WR Jauan Jennings$3,800 / $5,2003.5 / 2.80% / 0%
Lions offense
vs Vikings defense, allowing 21.6 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Jahmyr Gibbs Q$9,500 / $9,30025.4 / 23.217% / 36%
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown Q$8,000 / $8,50018.9 / 15.47% / 6%
QB Jared Goff$6,600 / $7,80018.0 / 18.01% / 3%
TE Sam LaPorta$5,100 / $5,70012.7 / 10.213% / 14%
WR Jameson Williams$6,000 / $6,30011.5 / 9.80% / 3%
WR Isaac TeSlaa$3,300 / $4,7004.3 / 3.60% / 0%
RB Sione Vaki$4,500 / $4,6002.5 / 2.30% / 0%
#6Raiders at Jets
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Outdoors
46.3Model Total
22.8 - 23.6Proj Score
46 / 54Win %
Jets by 1.5Spread
45.5Market Total
+0.8Model vs Market
Raiders offense
vs Jets defense, allowing 23.6 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Ashton Jeanty$6,700 / $7,20017.0 / 15.210% / 11%
TE Brock Bowers Q$7,600 / $7,80016.1 / 13.30% / 2%
QB Kirk Cousins$5,500 / $6,80015.3 / 15.30% / 2%
WR Tre Tucker$5,500 / $6,10010.1 / 8.40% / 1%
RB Mike Washington Jr.$4,700 / $5,0007.2 / 6.90% / 0%
TE Michael Mayer$3,600 / $4,8006.3 / 5.00% / 0%
WR Jalen Nailor$3,200 / $4,9006.0 / 5.03% / 0%
Jets offense
vs Raiders defense, allowing 22.8 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Geno Smith$5,200 / $7,00015.9 / 15.95% / 2%
RB Breece Hall Q$6,000 / $7,00014.7 / 13.38% / 5%
WR Garrett Wilson$6,300 / $7,00013.0 / 10.50% / 1%
RB Braelon Allen Q$6,100 / $6,60010.5 / 9.80% / 0%
WR Omar Cooper Jr.$4,800 / $5,9009.9 / 8.22% / 1%
TE Mason Taylor$3,300 / $5,0007.0 / 5.52% / 0%
WR Adonai Mitchell$4,000 / $4,9005.8 / 4.70% / 0%
#7Chargers at Rams
Sun 4:05 PM ET · Indoors
45.8Model Total
19.3 - 26.6Proj Score
32 / 68Win %
Rams by 6.5Spread
45.5Market Total
+0.3Model vs Market
Chargers offense
vs Rams defense, allowing 26.6 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Justin Herbert$5,000 / $6,80014.4 / 14.40% / 0%
WR Ladd McConkey Q$5,300 / $6,0009.8 / 8.00% / 0%
RB Omarion Hampton$5,100 / $5,8008.4 / 7.80% / 0%
RB Keaton Mitchell$4,100 / $4,9007.0 / 5.90% / 0%
WR Quentin Johnston$4,600 / $5,1006.2 / 5.10% / 0%
RB Kimani Vidal$4,600 / $5,1006.2 / 5.50% / 0%
WR Tre' Harris Q$4,300 / $5,5006.1 / 4.90% / 0%
Rams offense
vs Chargers defense, allowing 19.3 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
WR Puka Nacua$8,600 / $9,10020.4 / 16.98% / 4%
RB Kyren Williams$7,500 / $7,60018.1 / 16.58% / 16%
QB Matthew Stafford$6,400 / $7,60016.4 / 16.40% / 1%
RB Blake Corum$5,000 / $5,90010.2 / 9.70% / 1%
TE Tyler Higbee$3,800 / $4,7007.1 / 5.70% / 1%
TE Colby Parkinson Q$3,100 / $5,1006.9 / 5.65% / 0%
WR Konata Mumpfield$3,600 / $4,8005.0 / 4.20% / 0%
#8Falcons at Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Outdoors
45.8Model Total
22.2 - 23.6Proj Score
43 / 57Win %
Buccaneers by 2.5Spread
44.5Market Total
+1.3Model vs Market
Falcons offense
vs Buccaneers defense, allowing 23.6 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Bijan Robinson$8,500 / $8,80024.3 / 22.331% / 34%
WR Drake London$7,000 / $7,70017.8 / 14.718% / 19%
QB Michael Penix Jr.$5,300 / $6,90014.9 / 14.92% / 2%
TE Kyle Pitts Sr.$4,500 / $5,3009.8 / 7.82% / 4%
WR Jahan Dotson$3,500 / $5,5006.1 / 5.01% / 0%
WR Zachariah Branch$3,000 / $4,9003.3 / 2.60% / 0%
TE Austin Hooper$2,500 / $4,6002.5 / 2.00% / 0%
Buccaneers offense
vs Falcons defense, allowing 22.2 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Bucky Irving$6,400 / $7,30016.9 / 15.718% / 12%
QB Baker Mayfield$5,200 / $7,00016.3 / 16.34% / 3%
WR Emeka Egbuka Q$5,800 / $6,00014.4 / 11.817% / 30%
WR Chris Godwin Jr.$4,800 / $5,4009.8 / 7.91% / 3%
RB Kenny Gainwell Q$4,400 / $5,2007.0 / 6.00% / 0%
TE Cade Otton$3,400 / $4,8006.8 / 5.42% / 0%
WR Ted Hurst III$3,800 / $4,8004.9 / 4.10% / 0%
#9Patriots at Dolphins
Sun 4:25 PM ET · Outdoors
45.1Model Total
26.3 - 18.7Proj Score
70 / 30Win %
Patriots by 7Spread
43.5Market Total
+1.6Model vs Market
Patriots offense
vs Dolphins defense, allowing 18.7 projected pointstough
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Drake Maye$6,500 / $8,20021.4 / 21.412% / 11%
WR A.J. Brown Q$5,900 / $6,50014.8 / 12.320% / 23%
RB Rhamondre Stevenson$5,600 / $6,50013.6 / 12.37% / 5%
TE Hunter Henry$4,300 / $5,20010.8 / 8.914% / 14%
WR DeMario Douglas$4,400 / $5,1008.5 / 6.91% / 3%
RB TreVeyon Henderson$4,600 / $5,4007.0 / 6.50% / 0%
TE Eli Raridon$3,300 / $4,5006.0 / 4.90% / 1%
Dolphins offense
vs Patriots defense, allowing 26.3 projected pointssoft
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Malik Willis$4,900 / $6,50016.1 / 16.18% / 5%
RB Ollie Gordon II$5,700 / $6,40013.3 / 12.44% / 8%
WR Malik Washington Q$4,400 / $5,50011.4 / 9.224% / 16%
WR Caleb Douglas$4,100 / $5,3009.1 / 7.55% / 3%
TE Greg Dulcich Q$3,200 / $5,1008.3 / 6.513% / 1%
WR Chris Bell$3,200 / $4,8005.2 / 4.31% / 0%
RB Jaylen Wright$4,300 / $5,2003.5 / 3.30% / 0%
#10Chiefs at Broncos
Sun 4:25 PM ET · Outdoors
41.7Model Total
21.2 - 20.5Proj Score
54 / 46Win %
Chiefs by 1.5Spread
40.5Market Total
+1.2Model vs Market
Chiefs offense
vs Broncos defense, allowing 20.5 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Kenneth Walker III$8,800 / $9,00020.6 / 19.17% / 11%
QB Patrick Mahomes$6,000 / $7,90016.3 / 16.31% / 0%
WR Xavier Worthy$4,900 / $6,10012.8 / 10.320% / 8%
TE Travis Kelce$5,000 / $5,40012.3 / 9.87% / 17%
WR Jalen Royals$3,500 / $5,2005.1 / 4.10% / 0%
RB Emmett Johnson$4,800 / $5,1004.8 / 4.00% / 0%
TE Noah Gray$2,900 / $4,4004.1 / 3.20% / 0%
Broncos offense
vs Chiefs defense, allowing 21.2 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Bo Nix$5,100 / $7,10015.5 / 15.52% / 1%
WR Jaylen Waddle Q$5,400 / $6,40011.7 / 9.42% / 1%
RB Jonah Coleman$4,300 / $5,30010.0 / 9.15% / 2%
RB RJ Harvey$5,200 / $5,5009.4 / 7.60% / 0%
WR Courtland Sutton$4,700 / $5,7008.4 / 6.90% / 0%
RB J.K. Dobbins$5,300 / $5,7005.3 / 5.00% / 0%
TE Evan Engram$3,200 / $4,9005.1 / 3.90% / 0%
#11Browns at Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM ET · Outdoors
39.8Model Total
18.1 - 21.7Proj Score
40 / 60Win %
Steelers by 3.5Spread
39.5Market Total
+0.3Model vs Market
Browns offense
vs Steelers defense, allowing 21.7 projected pointsneutral
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
QB Deshaun Watson$5,400 / $7,30014.9 / 14.91% / 0%
RB Quinshon Judkins$5,500 / $6,70012.2 / 11.21% / 0%
WR KC Concepcion Jr.$4,700 / $5,80012.0 / 9.620% / 8%
WR Denzel Boston$5,200 / $5,6009.6 / 7.90% / 1%
TE Harold Fannin Jr.$4,200 / $5,5008.9 / 7.11% / 0%
RB Dylan Sampson Q$5,000 / $5,2007.1 / 5.90% / 0%
WR Jerry Jeudy$3,200 / $5,3005.2 / 4.20% / 0%
Steelers offense
vs Browns defense, allowing 18.1 projected pointstough
PlayerSalaryProjOwn
RB Jaylen Warren$6,600 / $7,40017.4 / 15.816% / 14%
QB Aaron Rodgers$5,100 / $7,20014.1 / 14.11% / 0%
WR DK Metcalf$5,400 / $6,60012.5 / 10.36% / 2%
WR Germie Bernard$4,900 / $5,00010.8 / 8.74% / 23%
TE Pat Freiermuth$3,900 / $5,0008.7 / 7.04% / 2%
RB Rico Dowdle$5,100 / $5,4008.4 / 7.50% / 0%
TE Darnell Washington$2,900 / $4,8004.8 / 3.80% / 0%
How to read this page. Model Total is the FTA projection for the game, and the cell beside it is that figure against the posted market total. Proj Score splits it into implied points per side, which is the number that should drive which team you stack rather than the game total. The defence line on each pane is how many points that side is projected to allow, so a soft badge is an offence facing a generous defence. Ownership is projected, not final, and depth charts are the model's expectation rather than confirmed usage.