How every fighter on this week’s UFC card scores in each way his fight can end. MMA fantasy scoring is all about the finish: a first-round knockout scores far more than a three-round decision, and a loss can still score if the fighter lands enough strikes and takedowns first. This page breaks each fighter down by outcome and turns that into a floor, median, ceiling and the chance of a 100-point night on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Reading the sims

The How It Ends bar shows the share of outcomes that are a win in each round, a win by decision, or a loss. A fighter with a big green first-round segment is a finisher with tournament upside. A fighter whose wins are mostly decisions can still score well through volume, but needs a long fight to get there. The 100+ % column is the most useful single number for tournaments, because a winning UFC lineup usually needs two or three fighters to clear 100 points.

The sims come from the same fight model as MMA DFS Projections. See the full card breakdown in the MMA DFS Cheat Sheet and the latest UFC DFS picks, then build in the BaconLab Optimizer. The free preview shows the top of the card; FTA+ members get every fighter on both sites and CSV downloads. Not betting advice. 21 plus. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.