Patriots vs Bears FanDuel Showdown Breakdown Week 7

Patriots at Bears is the Week 7 Thursday night single game slate, a projected 51 point pick’em at Soldier Field with A.J. Brown and Kyle Monangai questionable. Below is the game type, the MVP pool, the full FTA projection board for the FanDuel single game slate, the MVP leverage board, the optimal lineup against the ownership capped build, and the low owned screen.

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears kicks off on Thursday October 22 at 8:15 PM Eastern at Soldier Field, and it is a one game slate. Below is the full FTA projection board for the FanDuel single game slate, the optimal lineup, the MVP leverage board and the low owned screen, with every number taken from the same simulation set that feeds our tools.

51.1Projected total

Bears by 2.5Spread

263%Optimal ownership

29Players with projections

Injury note. A.J. Brown is questionable for New England, and so is Kyle Monangai for Chicago, so check both before you build. The Patriots are also without Julian Hill, Mack Hollins, Myles Montgomery and Reggie Gilliam, and the Bears are without Brittain Brown and Hayden Large. Every number below assumes Brown and Monangai play.

Game type: Pick'em, shootout

Neither side is a clear favorite. In our study, pick'em games sent the MVP to the favorite 66 percent of the time, so the underdog MVP is live in a way it rarely is.

How to build it: Split MVPs close to evenly between the Bears and the Patriots, and lean on the bigger implied total only slightly. A high total rewards pass catchers on both sides and four-to-two builds.

What the slate shape says before you look at a single player

Our simulations put this game at 51.1 total points, with the Bears at 26.9 and the Patriots at 24.3. That is a spread of about 2.5 points, which still puts it in the pick'em band. Across our study of 163 showdown slates, pick'em spread games sent the MVP to the favorite 66 percent of the time.

So neither side is a rule. The same study found the perfect lineup took players from both sides in almost every slate, with a three to three or four to two split accounting for the clear majority. Building entirely on one team is the single most common way to lose a showdown you had right.

The top of the FanDuel board

Drake MayeNE QB21.44$12,400

Caleb WilliamsCHI QB20.50$11,800

D'Andre SwiftCHI RB16.42$10,600

A.J. BrownNE WR13.41$11,200

Rhamondre StevensonNE RB12.22$10,200

Luther Burden IIICHI WR12.11$8,600

Colston LovelandCHI TE9.86$7,200

Cairo SantosCHI K9.15$6,400

The eight highest projections on the slate. The full board of 29 players, the value board, the MVP leverage board and the optimal lineup are below for FTA+ members.

The rest of this breakdown is in FTA+. Members get the complete 29 player projection board, the value board, the MVP leverage board ranked by ceiling over ownership, the optimal lineup with its total projected ownership, the same build under an ownership cap, and the low owned screen. See what FTA+ includes.

That is the free preview

You are seeing the top projections on this single game slate. The full player board, the value board, the captain and MVP leverage board, the optimal lineup with its projected ownership and the low owned screen are in FTA+.

Unlock the full breakdown with FTA+