Bills vs Rams DraftKings Showdown Breakdown Week 5

Bills at Rams is the Week 5 Monday night showdown and the highest total of the week, projected at 55.1 with the Rams favored by about 3.5. Below is the game type, the captain pool, the full FTA projection board for the DraftKings showdown, the captain leverage board, the optimal lineup against the ownership capped build, and the low owned screen.

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams kicks off on Monday October 12 at 8:15 PM Eastern at SoFi Stadium, and it is a one game slate. Below is the full FTA projection board for the DraftKings showdown, the optimal lineup, the captain leverage board and the low owned screen, with every number taken from the same simulation set that feeds our tools.

55.1Projected total
Rams by 3.5Spread
196%Optimal ownership
29Players with projections
Injury note. DJ Moore is questionable for Buffalo, and Joshua Palmer and Tyrell Shavers are out. The Rams are without Terrance Ferguson, Ronnie Rivers and Matthew Caldwell. Every number below reflects that.

Game type: Lean favorite, shootout

The Rams are favored but not by much. The field will tilt toward Rams captains without fully abandoning the Bills.

How to build it: Make most captains Rams, keep a meaningful share on the Bills, and always bring back at least one player from the other side. A high total rewards pass catchers on both sides and four-to-two builds.

What the slate shape says before you look at a single player

Our simulations put this game at 55.1 total points, with the Rams at 29.3 and the Bills at 25.8, a spread of about 3.5 points. The Rams are the side the field will lean on, but this is not a blowout on paper, and the Bills are very much alive.

Even so, do not build only one side. Our study of 163 showdown slates found the perfect lineup took players from both sides in almost every slate, with a three to three or four to two split accounting for the clear majority. Building entirely on one team is the single most common way to lose a showdown you had right.

The top of the DraftKings board

Josh AllenBUF QB23.86$11,800
Puka NacuaLA WR22.68$11,400
Matthew StaffordLA QB21.29$9,000
Kyren WilliamsLA RB18.27$9,800
James Cook IIIBUF RB15.94$10,600
Davante AdamsLA WR15.17$9,400
Dalton KincaidBUF TE13.85$6,600
Khalil ShakirBUF WR12.11$7,000

The eight highest projections on the slate. The full board of 29 players, the value board, the captain leverage board and the optimal lineup are below for FTA+ members.

The rest of this breakdown is in FTA+. Members get the complete 29 player projection board, the value board, the captain leverage board ranked by ceiling over ownership, the optimal lineup with its total projected ownership, the same build under an ownership cap, and the low owned screen. See what FTA+ includes.

That is the free preview

You are seeing the top projections on this single game slate. The full player board, the value board, the captain and MVP leverage board, the optimal lineup with its projected ownership and the low owned screen are in FTA+.

Unlock the full breakdown with FTA+